El Niño Watch: NOAA says El Niño could develop by July 2026 and bring a “double whammy” of higher tides and flooding risk for coastal communities, adding pressure to already stressed food-growing regions. Fertilizer & Biofuels: U.S. urea prices have slid back toward pre-conflict levels after the Strait of Hormuz disruption, but analysts warn El Niño and lingering input volatility could keep food inflation risks elevated; at the same time, rising oil prices are boosting biofuel demand and could intensify the food-vs-fuel squeeze. New World Screwworm in Texas: USDA confirmed five New World screwworm cases in Texas as of June 10, with officials urging vigilance and tighter movement rules to protect cattle and other warm-blooded animals. Uruguay–China Pasture Push: Uruguay signed an agreement with a Chinese university to create a Joint Pasture Agriculture Laboratory aimed at genetic improvement and biotechnology for pasture and forage. Venezuela Coffee Law: Venezuela’s parliament approved a Coffee Promotion and Promotion Act to protect producers, strengthen the production chain, and curb smuggling via certification and origin designations. Guyana Sugar Costs: Guyana’s agriculture minister said first-crop 2025 production cost was about US$1.09 per pound, with total output reported across key estates. USMCA Uncertainty: Trump said he may not renew USMCA, while U.S. lawmakers argue it’s been especially good for agriculture—raising trade-policy uncertainty for the region’s farm sector. Brazil Phosphate Ramp-Up: Aguia Resources commissioned its Pampafós phosphate plant in Rio Grande do Sul and flagged a potential 30% production uptick, supporting domestic fertilizer supply.